(NBA) Milwaukee vs. Detroit, 01/13/2021 7:00 PM, Score: 110 - 101
Total: 225.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
8* Under Bucks/Pistons (7:05 ET): These teams just met twice last week (both games in Milwaukee) and as you might have guessed, the Bucks won both times. The scores were remarkably similar, 125-115 and 130-115, and that had the Over also going 2 for 2. Now they face off in the Motor City where the Pistons will hope for a better result. It’s highly unlikely that the underdog can prevail here, but their best chance is to keep things a lot more low-scoring. I do think that’s going to happen, for a variety of reasons.

Since sweeping the Pistons last week, the Bucks have gone on to win two of their last three games. After losing to Utah (gave up 131 points!), they’ve bounced back to defeat both Cleveland (allowed just 90 points) and Orlando (allowed just 99 points). The Under hit in both wins and again, that’s what I see happening in this one as they are taking on another opponent that is apt to struggle at the offensive end. The Pistons are 26th in the league in offensive efficiency and prior to the season were projected to be LAST in that department.

Now keeping the Bucks’ offense (#1 in efficiency) is going to be the key to this play. The Bucks are averaging 121.9 PPG so far, but that’s going to be difficult to maintain. Tonight marks the first time they’ve had to play consecutive road games since the start of the New Year. Hopefully, that can have a small (negative) impact on their production. But the bottom line here is that in it’s last two games, Detroit has scored just 86 and 93 points in regulation. With injuries at the PG position, they shot just 33% vs. Utah on Sunday. The Under is 4-1 in the Pistons’ last five home games. 8* Under Bucks/Pistons