Contrarian Crusher MLB 10*
(MLB) Cleveland vs. Minnesota, 07/30/2020 7:07 PM, Score: 2 - 0
Total: 8.50 | 100.00 Over
Bookmaker: PinnacleSports
Result: Loss
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #965 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Indians @ 7:07 ET - This line opened up at a 9 and the whole world jumped on the under as if the odds makers don't know what they're doing. Of course all you have to do is take one look at the glitz and glamour of where I live here in Vegas (shiny hotels, beautiful sportsbooks) to know who usually wins when it comes to making lines! The point is that with this total now an 8.5 and with the over available without even laying juice at that number, it is a great value and I am going with a top play here. The Indians are off a home shutout yesterday. I love taking teams to bounce back in a situation like that and I expect Cleveland's lineup to respond in a big way here. Yes, the Twins Jose Berrios and the Indians Shane Bieber have a certain reputation but lets take a closer look at the specifics here! Berrios faded badly late last season. Just look at his numbers from August and September. In other words, the fact he struggled in his opening start this season may not be such a surprise. Berrios is battling himself a bit and his confidence is down. He also gave up 3 earned runs in each of his last two starts against Cleveland last season and that was when he was still in pretty decent form too. In other words, today's start is likely to go worse than those and yet outings like either of those should be enough for us to see this game go over the total. That's because the Indians Bieber gave up multiple homers in 3 of his last 4 starts against the Twins last season. They got to him for 2 homers in 2 of those games and 3 homers in another game. That said, and with the way Minnesota has been swinging the bats early this season, I am expecting a slugfest to erupt at Target Field on Thursday night. Most won't see this game this way but you have to dig deeper for the nuggets on games and it should pay off for us here with great value on this low total. 10* OVER the total in Minnesota