Money Line: -154.00 Cincinnati (Away)
The Reds are just holding on to a wildcard spot, and face the Dodgers next, so this series vs. the Pirates is critical to their play-off chances. Off a pair of losses, they send out Mr. Dependable, Wade Miley. Miley shut out the Pirate over 7 innings in a previous meeting. He had a rough outing two starts ago, but has otherwise been very solid, consistently pitching for length and ER allowed. The Reds are 17-9 when he is on the mound and he is very good on the road.
The Reds usually potent offense has struggled in past weeks. Their bullpen, usually poor, is improved. They are a decent road team, and good vs. left-handed pitching.
Pittsburgh, also 4-6, is, as they say, playing for pride at this point. Dillon Peters was a late pickup and has been solid in his 4 starts. He has yet to win and to pitch over 5 innings. He missed a start due to back strain, and in his last start gave up 2 runs over 4 innings.
The Pirates are weak offensively, although better of late. They have a poor home record and an abysmal record vs left-handed pitching.
I am looking for the Reds bats to come alive today, and the Pirates to struggle against a very effective lefty. Take the Reds to win outright.