Stephen Nover's MLB Total of the Week - Sizzling 25-9 (74%) MLB Streak!
(MLB) Washington vs. NY Mets, 07/10/2024 7:10 PM, Score: 2 - 6
Total: 9.00 | -113.00 Over
Result: Loss
Since winning the World Series in 2019, the Nationals have been terrible. One major reason for this is their reluctance to cut ties with highly overpaid lefty Patrick Corbin. This is the fourth consecutive year Corbin has been horrible with a 1-8 record and 5.49 ERA.

Corbin's ERA the previous three seasons were 5.20, 6.31 and 5.82.

The Mets rank fourth in the majors in batting average, slugging percentage and OPS when facing lefty pitching.

The Nationals hit better against right-handers and they face a struggling one in Luis Severino, who is in bad form giving up 11 earned runs in his last two starts spanning 13 innings. During this time frame, Severino has allowed 17 hits and three walks. He has a 6.04 ERA during his last four starts. The Nationals have the 12th-highest batting average vs righties.

There's more, though, than just two struggling starting pitchers.

The weather forecast is for strong winds blowing out to center and Carlos Torres expected to be the home plate umpire. Torres has a history of being tough on pitchers. The Over has cashed 57 percent of the time in Torres' 150 games behind the plate.